The final game of Saturday’s divisional round match-ups pits Tim Tebow and the Denver Broncos (9-8, 8-9 ATS) against Tom Brady and the New England Patriots (13-3, 9-7 ATS); kick-off from Gillette Stadium for this AFC playoff match is set to go live at 8:00 ET on CBS.

Leroy’s Sportsbook currently has the host Patriots tagged as lofty 13.5-point favorites with the ‘total’ lined at 50.

After dropping each of their final three games of the regular season and backing their way into the playoffs as the AFC West champs, not many gave the Broncos a chance of playing in this game; not even the oddsmakers who opened them up as eight-point home underdogs over Wild Card Weekend. Be that as it may, Head Coach John Fox’s squad went out and took it to the defending AFC champs before Big Ben and the Steelers offense came up with the game tying score at the end of regulation. Tied at 23 in the extra session, many were excited to see how the new overtime playoff rules would play out, but the Broncos squashed that dream quickly when Tebow connected with WR Demaryius Thomas for an 80-yard TD scamper on its first extra session play from scrimmage that sent Sports Authority Field into a frenzy and punched the Broncos ticket into the divisional round. Surprisingly, Denver was at its best as a visitor posting 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS records in the regular season.

Are the Patriots really worthy of just a +200 return if they win Super Bowl XLVI? Based solely upon its regular season resume and winning 13 of its 16 games played, many would say yes. However, a deeper look into the Patriots recent shortcomings may have many taking a shot with Denver in this spot not only against the spread, but on the moneyline as well. Reason being, the Pats have been one and done in the playoffs each of the last two seasons and last won a Super Bowl back in 2005. Though they did rattle off the first undefeated regular season since the Miami Dolphins pulled off the feat back in 1972, they fell in the Super Bowl back in 2008. It’s been all downhill from there at least from a postseason perspective for this New England based outfit. On top of that, Head Coach Bill Belichick’s squad was forced to battle back from enormous deficits in their last three games, and if they get behind early this time around, Denver might just have the confidence to see it all the way through this time. That said; NE won seven of eight at home this season and posted a 4-4 mark against the closing pointspread.

Saturday will mark the second meeting between these franchises this season. New England got behind early in its Week 15 trip to Denver, but battled back with 27 unanswered points to pull out the 41-23 road win and cover as seven-point favorites. Denver has gone 5-1 ATS in its L/6 road games and stands a perfect 4-0 ATS the L/4 times it was dogged on the road. New England is 5-1 SU & ATS versus the L/6 AFC West opponents its faced, but also checks in 0-6 ATS its L/6 playoff games as well as 1-5 ATS the L/6 times it hosted the Broncos. The ‘under’ is 4-1-1 the L/6 times these teams went at it from Gillette, but the ‘over’ is 15-3 the L/18 times Denver squared off against a +.500 opponent.